The national news orgs are pissing me off; they’re only reporting exit polls on the six or so states where polling has closed, states that were expected to (and looks like did) go to Bush. Which I hope think is skewing the numbers.
With that in mind, here’s some exit poll numbers snagged from Wonkette:
6 p.m. exit polls — not internals.
K/B:
FL 51 49
NC 48 52
OH 51 49
Missouri 46 54
Ark 47 53
Mich 51 47
NM 50 49
LA 43 56
CO 48 51
AZ 45 55
Minn 54 44
Wisc 52 47
IA 49 49
These numbers make me happier.
For what it’s worth, rabid right attack dog/MSNBC host Joe Scarborough seems very subdued co-hosting their election coverage right now. He’s coming across as very dour, almost mournful. Makes me wonder if he knows something we don’t — something we’d like. Normally I want to punch him in the throat, but today he seems very down. Good.
CNN is calling it 56 Bush, 44 Kerry nationally at this point.
On the other hand, Zogby is predicting a Kerry electoral college landslide.
Again, from Slate, as of 3:15 pm PST:
“In the national exit poll, Kerry leads Bush 51-48. In Wisconsin he’s up by three and in Ohio and Florida he leads by one.”
The first east coast polls are closing in about 10 minutes and the new organizations will begin reporting their exit poll information then. I’ll let you know what they say…
From Slate:
Florida
Kerry 52
Bush 48
Ohio
Kerry 52
Bush 47
Michigan
Kerry 51
Bush 48
Pennsylvania
Kerry 58
Bush 42
Iowa
Kerry 50
Bush 48
Wisconsin
Kerry 53
Bush 47
Minnesota
Kerry 57
Bush 42
New Hampshire
Kerry 58
Bush 41
Maine
Kerry 55
Bush 44
New Mexico
Kerry 49
Bush 49
Nevada
Kerry 48
Bush 49
Colorado
Kerry 49
Bush 50
Arkansas
Kerry 45
Bush 54
Clipped from The Political Puzzle:
AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
I’m loathe to jinx it, but I have to say things are looking good in the key battleground states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
As if I needed to tell you, tomorrow (today, by the time some of you east-coasters read this) is Election Day. It’s time for you to step up and do your duty as an American citizen, to take whatever time is necessary out of your day to go vote.
Obviously, I think it’s critical that you vote for Kerry. If you’re thinking about voting Nader, don’t make me come over there and stomp your guts out — you’re part of the reason we’re in the mess we’re in now. Wake up, smell the stench around you, and get with the fucking program. Nader is a spoiler, plain and simple, and the only “message” you can possibly send in voting for him is not that 3rd parties can draw significant support, but instead that you’d rather have another four years of Bush than 30 seconds of voting smart over heart. Every vote counts. Your vote counts. Don’t waste it.
And if you’re planning to vote for Bush, I really seriously strongly no-kidding- around insist that you follow this link and take the Patriot Pledge first. As I said in an earlier entry, if you’re going to talk the talk then you’d damn well better walk the walk. The things on this pledge are what you’ll be voting for, so you have a moral responsibility to agree to them. If you don’t, well… See my above comments on Kerry. Wake up and smell the sewage.
We have an opportunity tomorrow to take our country back from the hacks and thieves who stole it in 2000. They will stop at nothing, they will lie, cheat and steal to hang onto it, so it’s critical that every single one of you do your duty and vote. Bush has to go. We must return to this nation its stolen honor.
We can take it back. Let’s do it.